I'm looking for some way to calculate how much base I will need to add to an unbuffered solvent consisting of a mixture of ethanol and water in order to basify it to a specific reading (10) on an a pH probe calibrated with an aqueous standard.
I have several mixtures of ethanol and water, ranging from about 85% ethanol to nearly 100% ethanol, and I plan to basify these solutions. Using the method defined by ASTM D6423, one of these solutions was measured to have a pHe of 5.2 due to the presence of some acidic species, but I don't expect these species to act as buffers.
Now, I'm aiming to get these solutions to a pHe of approximately 10, and in practice I'm just going to add the base and check the pHe as I go. However, motivated by the fact that I'll potentially need to do this on quite a large scale at some point, I'm curious if it's possible to put a mathematical backing behind this.
If this were a pure water solvent, I would calculate $[\ce{OH^-}]=10^{-8.8}$, since the self ionization constant of water is $K_W = 10^{-14}$ and $K_W \approx [\ce{OH^-}][\ce{H^+}]$. From there it's relatively simple to calculate the amount of base I should need to add to reach $[\ce{OH^-}] = 10^{-4}$, resulting in a pH of 10.
If this were a pure ethanol solvent, I would do something similar using the self ionization constant for ethanol, except nobody has published one as far as I can tell. This answer also failed to find one. The Wikipedia page on the leveling effect depicts ethanol having a wider acid-base discrimination window than water, so I would expect $K_{EtOH}$ to be somewhat higher than $K_W$, but no numbers are given. I checked the source of the graphic as well, and they also give no numbers.
Finding $K_\ce{EtOH}$ wouldn't even fully solve the problem though, as there is a non-negligible amount of water in the solvent. The only source I was able to find discussing pH in mixed-solvent system was this one, which discusses using a correction factor ($\delta$) to allow the measurement of something analogous to pH in mixed solvent systems using an electrode calibrated in an aqueous standard. However they only determined this correction factor in solutions of up to about 72% ethanol, and the relationship is decidedly non-linear, as shown by this plot:
We know that when our probe reads 10 we'll get good results with the rest of the process, so presumably this means in the math I would want to target a pH of $10+\delta$, were $\delta$ known.
This is as far as I've been able to get with my own literature search. If anyone here has any insight into this problem I would greatly appreciate it!
EDIT: Additional detail. I just had some 200 proof ethanol measured by the ASTM D6423 method, and the pHe was measured as 6.5. This is counter to what I expected. I expected it to have a pHe greater than 7 since pure ethanol should be a somewhat weaker acid than water based on everything I've read. I'm not certain if this is helpful information at all, but it's another data point.