It is more probable like $$\begin{align} \ce{NO2Br &-> NO2 + Br} \\ \ce{NO2Br + Br &-> NO2 + Br2} \\ \ce{2 Br &-> Br2} \\ \end{align}$$ The last reaction is a minor one in case concentration of $\ce{Br}$ is low. The [reaction rate order][1] can be concentration dependent and need not be the integer. In fact, it is rather mathematical parameter, related to solution of differential equations for a complex reaction system. If the 2nd reaction is fast enough, the overall reaction rate is given by the slow rate of generation of $\ce{Br}$, which fast reacts to form $\ce{Br2}$ If the 2nd reaction is slow enough, it's rate $$k_{\rm 2}\cdot [\ce{NO2Br}][\ce{Br}]$$ can be written as $$k_{\rm 2a}\cdot [\ce{NO2Br}]^2$$ The exact solution is to solve system of differential equations for the rates of the concentration changes. ----------- $$d[Br]/dt=k1.[NO2Br] - k2.[NO2Br][Br] - k3 [Br]^2$$ For the dynamic equilibrium of the steady concentration of $\ce{Br}$: $$\begin{align} 0&=-k1.[NO2Br] + k2.[NO2Br][Br] + k3 [Br]^2 \\ [Br]&=[ -k2.[NO2Br]+sqrt((k2.[NO2Br])^2+4.k3.k1.[NO2Br])]/(2.k3) \\ d[NO2Br]/dt&=-k1.[NO2Br] - k2.[NO2Br][Br]\\ \end{align}$$ [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rate_equation