Quick Answer
The relative product concentrations are dependent on $\Delta E_a$, $T$, orders, and reversibility of the reactions. It would be inaccurate to specify relative product concentrations simply based on $\Delta E_a$. For competitive reactions of the same order, the relative product concentrations are a simple ratio of the rate constants. Moreover, reversibility is crucial for thermodynamic and kinetic control.
The following values tabulated from Equation (5) should help you estimate the relative product concentrations $\dfrac{\ce{[P_2]}}{\ce{[P_1]}}$ for competitive same-order non-reversible reactions:
$\Delta E_a \pu{kcal mol^{-1}}$ |
$\pu{100 K}$ |
$\pu{200 K}$ |
$\pu{300 K}$ |
$\pu{400 K}$ |
$\pu{500 K}$ |
1 |
1.53E2 |
1.24E1 |
5.35 |
3.52 |
2.74 |
2 |
2.35E4 |
1.53E2 |
2.86E1 |
1.24E1 |
7.49 |
3 |
3.61E6 |
1.89E3 |
1.53E2 |
4.36E1 |
2.05E1 |
4 |
5.53E8 |
3.25E4 |
8.21E2 |
1.53E2 |
5.60E1 |
5 |
8.48E10 |
2.91E5 |
4.39E3 |
5.40E2 |
1.53E2 |
Sigh! I tried, but there is no generalized simple formula to do this for such a wide range of $\Delta E_a$, even approximately so at a fixed temperature. You will have to go through The Fun Part.
The Fun Part
The information provided just isn't enough to claim any results. The following derivation makes some assumptions, that the two:
- reactions have the same order,
- products have zero initial concentration,
- rate constants follow the Arrhenius equation, and
- pre-exponential factors in the Arrhenius equation are equal.
Consider two reactions:
$$
\ce{A ->[$k_1$][$n_1$] P1} \tag{1}
$$
$$
\ce{A ->[$k_2$][$n_2$] P2} \tag{2}
$$
where $k_1$ and $k_2$ and $n_1$ and $n_2$ are the rate constants and orders, respectively, of Reactions (1) and (2). Note that I have assumed that the reactions are not reversible:
$$
\ce{P1 ->[$k\,=\,0$] A}\\
\ce{P2 ->[$k\,=\,0$] A}
$$
Same Order Competitive Reactions
Assuming $n_1=n_2=n$, the rates $R_1$ and $R_2$ for reactions (1) and (2), respectively, are given by:
$$
R_1 = \dfrac{\mathrm{d}\ce{P1}}{\mathrm{d}t} = k_1\ce{[A]^n} \tag{3}\\
$$
$$
R_2 = \dfrac{\mathrm{d}\ce{P2}}{\mathrm{d}t} = k_2\ce{[A]^n} \tag{4}\\
$$
Dividing Equation (4) with Equation (3):
$$
\dfrac{R_2}{R_1} = \dfrac{\dfrac{\mathrm{d}\ce{[P_2]}}{\mathrm{d}t}}{\dfrac{\mathrm{d}\ce{[P_1]}}{\mathrm{d}t}} = \dfrac{\mathrm{d}\ce{[P_2]}}{\mathrm{d}\ce{[P_1]}} = \dfrac{k_2}{k_1}
$$
Assuming initial concentrations of products is zero, upon integration we obtain:
$$
\dfrac{\ce{[P2]}}{\ce{[P1]}} = \dfrac{k_2}{k_1}\\
$$
Arrhenius Approximation
Assume the rate constants follow the Arrhenius equation:
$$
k_1 = A_1\mathrm{e}^{-\dfrac{(E_a)_1}{RT}}\\
k_2 = A_2\mathrm{e}^{-\dfrac{(E_a)_2}{RT}}\\
$$
Assuming $A_1 = A_2$ and with Equation (3):
$$
\dfrac{\ce{[P2]}}{\ce{[P1]}} = \dfrac{k_2}{k_1} = \mathrm{e}^{-\dfrac{\Delta E_a}{RT}} \tag{5}
$$
where $\Delta E_a =(E_a)_2-(E_a)_1$. Notice that we still have a temperature dependence. Plotting $\dfrac{\ce{[P2]}}{\ce{[P1]}}$ with varying $T$ and $\Delta E_a$, we obtain, with $R = \pu{1.987\times 10^{-3} kcal K^{-1} mol^{-1}}$:

Legend
- DEa: $\Delta E_a/\pu{kcal mol^{-1}}$
- T: $T/\pu{K}$
- [P2]/[P1]: $\dfrac{\ce{[P2]}}{\ce{[P1]}}$
Discussion
Higher $\dfrac{\ce{[P2]}}{\ce{[P1]}}$ is obtained at lower $T$ and higher $\Delta E_a$.
I know that 1.4 kcal/mol approximately corresponds to factor $\left( \dfrac{\ce{[P2]}}{\ce{[P1]}} \right)$ 10, 3 kcal/mol the product distribution would approximately be $100:1::\ce{[P_2]}:\ce{[P_1]}$.
From Equation (5), the relative product concentrations are dependent on both $\Delta E_a$ and $T$. It would be inaccurate to specify relative product concentrations simply based on $\Delta E_a$. You can immediately see that your rough estimates are extremely affected by even small changes in $\Delta E_a$ and $T$.
Note: Since reactions are not reversible, there is no thermodynamic or kinetic control here. Relative product concentrations are simply dependent on $\Delta E_a$ and $T$. In other word, reversibility is crucial in establishing thermodynamic and kinetic control.
Further Considerations
Varying the equation for rate constant, orders of the reactions, and reversibility may provide interesting insights, but will require extensive numerical analysis.