Here is the question.
Which one has better leaving group, cyclohexanol or cyclohexane that has $\ce{OH_{2}^{+}}$ substituent? Explain.
I know the answer is the latter because if both compounds are subjected in substitution reaction, the latter will yield a weak conjugate base ($\ce{H2O}$). There are some interesting facts from there which wants me to prove the answer with molecular orbital approach.
Here, I cite the part from it.
The leaving group itself does play a slight role here in determining the energy of the $\unicode{x3c3}^*$ orbital and thus whether it is energetically favourable for the nucleophile to attack.
Based on the cited part, looks the orbital plays the role in nucleophilicity although the iodide example gives counterexample of nucleophilicity vs leaving group.
Does HOMO orbital play role in determining nucleophilicity? Based on molecular orbital of $\ce{OH-}$ and $\ce{H2O}$, the HOMO of $\ce{H2O}$ is higher than the former, thus is it correct to interpret $\ce{H2O}$ is more nucleophilic than $\ce{OH2+}$?
If nucleophilicity criteria is solely based on energy of HOMO orbital, is there a bound where the energy of HOMO orbital becomes electrophilic (or the LUMO orbital becomes nucleophilic)?
If leaving group is a thermodynamic factor (as noted by first source), would molecular orbital alone (including frontier molecular orbital) suffice to predict the leaving group order?
Can molecular orbital describes the iodide case (good leaving group but good nucleophile)?
The leaving group trend is supposed to be for similar weak bases (halides, $\ce{OTs}$, and $\ce{OMs}$).