This doesn’t exactly concern the actual mechanism you asked for, but as part of my PhD thesis, I performed an amide alkyne coupling the mechanism of which had been researched by Arndt et al.[1] Analysing how they established an accepted mechanism may help understanding how these are accepted. The authors note five proposed mechanisms at the beginning of their paper and then proceed to state the implications of each mechanism concerning:
- deuterium labelling of different reactants and how it affects the product
- kinetic isotope effects when replacing protium with deuterium
- whether certain ruthenium-hydride species should be observeable in NMR with either reactant
- whether ruthenium-amide species should be observeable in ESI-MS
- whether the intermediate species should be neutral, cationic or anionic.
After predicting the implications of each mechanism, they performed a number of experiments to prove either side of the story. Including:
- Deuteration studies
- Kinetic investigations via in situ IR spectroscopy; whether or not deuterium changed the picture
- NMR studies of the catalyst system with one or the other reactant; and then NMR studies of all three species mixed ($\ce{^1H}$-NMR, $\ce{^31P}$-NMR, 2D-NMR, …)
- MS experiments
Each of these methods has advantages and disadvantages. For example, NMR is a very slow method so one cannot expect to observe rapid transformations. However, it is a good structure determining tool, and if you ‘freeze’ the reaction (e.g. only one reactant added), you can draw good conclusions about the initial complexes by analysing the solution with NMR. Likewise, all methods have certain advantages that were used to their fullest.
At the end, the authors were able to deduce that a number of proposed mechanisms were incorrect (they did not fit the experiment) leaving one proposed mechanism that seemed plausible. Additionally, a number of MS peaks which could well represent different intermediates were discovered in the MS analyses.
The resulting most likely mechanism (mechanism D by the original numbering) was then further backed by computational studies showing the different energy differences and activation energies.
They still cannot be sure that their proposed mechanism is correct, but there is strong evidence pointing towards it.
Reference:
[1]: M. Arndt, K. S. M. Salih, A. Fromm, L. J. Goossen, F. Menges, G. Niedner-Schatteburg, J. Am. Chem. Soc. 2011, 133, 7428. DOI: 10.1021/ja111389r.