What everybody can agree on, though, is that 2 is more stable than 1. The energy difference was determined by IR spectroscopy to be $\pu{4.75 kcal mol-1}$ for methyl formate, and $\pu{8.5 kcal mol-1}$ for methyl acetate (the latter being larger because of steric repulsions between methyl groups).10 These values have since been thoroughlyare corroborated by subsequentmultiple computational studies.2–4
I actually get the feeling that some of the textbooks get sloppy, or gloss over this aspect. Reading Clayden5 for example, the impression I get is that because 1 is more unstable than 2, it reacts more readily (with bases or nucleophiles). However, in comparing $\Delta G$ for two different reactions, one must be careful to look at the relative stabilities of not just the reactants, but also the products. If 2a is also more stable than 1a, and to the same extent, then there is no reason to expect any difference in acidity ($\Delta\Delta G = 0$), then there is no reason to expect any difference in acidity.
Extra: in a later article, Houk and Jorgensen11 revisited the topic to calculate the potential effects of solvation. Solvation by aA polar solvent (water) would be expected to preferentially stabilise the more polar (E)-conformers 1 and 1a (thesewhich are more polar since the dipoles reinforce each other). It turns out that solvation in either water or acetonitrile only reduces $\Delta \Delta G$ by $\pu{1 kcal mol-1}$.
However, newer research suggests that there is also an extra stereoelectronic factor that accounts for the unusually high acidity, namely donation from the ester oxygen lone pair into the σ* orbital of the adjacent $\ce{C_{sp^3}–O}$$\ce{C(sp^3)–O}$ single bond. This stabilising effect is more pronounced in the conjugate base because the oxygen has greater electron density and the donor orbital has a higher energy.13
Huisgen, R. Neuere Beiträge zur Chemie mittlerer Ringe. Angew. Chem. 1957, 69 (11), 341–359. DOI: 10.1002/ange.19570691102. Disclaimer: I can't quite read German, but none of the figures indicate any sort of stereoelectronic effect.
Wennerstrom, H.; Forsen, S.; Roos, B. Ester group. I. Ab initio calculations on methyl formate. J. Phys. Chem. 1972, 76 (17), 2430–2436. DOI: 10.1021/j100661a015.
Wang, X.; Houk, K. N. Theoretical elucidation of the origin of the anomalously high acidity of Meldrum's acid. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 1988, 110 (6), 1870–1872. DOI: 10.1021/ja00214a032.
Wiberg, K. B.; Laidig, K. E. Acidity of (Z)- and (E)-methyl acetates: relationship to Meldrum's acid. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 1988, 110 (6), 1872–1874. DOI: 10.1021/ja00214a033.
Clayden, J.; Greeves, N.; Warren, S. Organic Chemistry, 2nd ed.; Oxford UP: Oxford, U.K., 2012.
Deslongchamps, P. Stereoelectronic Effects in Organic Chemistry; Pergamon Press: Oxford, U.K., 1983.
Alabugin, I. V. Stereoelectronic Effects; Wiley: Chichester, U.K., 2016.
Kirby, A. J. Stereoelectronic Effects; Oxford UP: Oxford, U.K., 1996.
D. A. Evans' famous Chem 206 notes also only mention this stereoelectronic effeteffect. The set of notes is downloadable here (the relevant part is in Lecture 2).
Blom, C. E.; Günthard, H. H. Rotational isomerism in methyl formate and methyl acetate; a low-temperature matrix infrared study using thermal molecular beams. Chem. Phys. Lett. 1981, 84 (2), 267–271. DOI: 10.1016/0009-2614(81)80342-9.
Evanseck, J. D.; Houk, K. N.; Briggs, J. M.; Jorgensen, W. L. Quantification of Solvent Effects on the Acidities of Z and E Esters from Fluid Simulations. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 1994, 116J. Am. Chem. Soc. 1994, 116 (23), 10630–10638. DOI: 10.1021/ja00102a032.
Arnett, E. M.; Harrelson, J. A., Jr. Ion pairing and reactivity of enolate anions. 7. A spectacular example of the importance of rotational barriers: the ionization of Meldrum's acid. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 1987, 109 (3), 809–812. DOI: 10.1021/ja00237a028.
Byun, K.; Mo, Y.; Gao, J. New Insight on the Origin of the Unusual Acidity of Meldrum's Acid from ab Initio and Combined QM/MM Simulation Study. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 2001, 123 (17), 3974–3979. DOI: 10.1021/ja001369r.